SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Kenya | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Kenya had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.06%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kenya win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Comoros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kenya | Draw | Comoros |
20.89% ( 0.29) | 27.3% ( 0.08) | 51.82% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 41.18% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.68% ( 0.01) | 62.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.03% ( 0.01) | 81.97% ( -0.01) |
| Kenya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.45% ( 0.33) | 45.55% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.63% ( 0.26) | 81.37% ( -0.26) |
| Comoros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% ( -0.17) | 24.37% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.23% ( -0.23) | 58.77% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kenya | Draw | Comoros |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 20.89% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 15.67% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 11.06% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 51.81% |
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