SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Oxford City |
55.99% ( -0.94) | 22.75% ( 0.26) | 21.27% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( -0.25) | 45.03% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( -0.25) | 67.38% ( 0.25) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% ( -0.41) | 15.91% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.85% ( -0.75) | 45.15% ( 0.75) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% ( 0.52) | 35.23% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( 0.54) | 71.99% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.41% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.96% Total : 21.27% |
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