SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
36.14% ( -0) | 25.59% ( 0.02) | 38.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( -0.09) | 48.37% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.08) | 70.51% ( 0.08) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.05) | 26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.97% ( -0.06) | 61.02% ( 0.06) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( -0.05) | 24.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( -0.07) | 59.4% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.14% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.27% |
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