SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
18.88% ( -1.12) | 21.84% ( -0.1) | 59.28% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.58% ( -1.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.69% ( -1.2) | 44.31% ( 1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( -1.18) | 66.68% ( 1.18) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.72% ( -1.88) | 37.27% ( 1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( -1.9) | 74.06% ( 1.9) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( -0.01) | 14.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.34% ( -0.03) | 42.65% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 1-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.88% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 10.07% ( 0.5)1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.47% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 3.11% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 3.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08)0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 59.27% |
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