SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
36.56% ( -0.12) | 24.29% ( -0.02) | 39.15% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.69% ( 0.1) | 42.3% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.29% ( 0.1) | 64.71% ( -0.1) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( -0.02) | 22.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% ( -0.02) | 56.76% ( 0.02) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( 0.11) | 21.66% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( 0.17) | 54.79% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 39.15% |
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