SM
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 9 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Belarus | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 6 | Andorra | 9 | -15 | 2 |
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 9 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Belarus | 9 | -6 | 9 |
| 6 | Andorra | 9 | -15 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kosovo | Draw | Belarus |
63.36% ( 0.03) | 20.83% ( 0.02) | 15.8% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( -0.17) | 45.13% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( -0.17) | 67.48% ( 0.16) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( -0.05) | 13.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.29% ( -0.09) | 40.71% ( 0.09) |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.56% ( -0.17) | 41.44% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.05% ( -0.15) | 77.94% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kosovo | Draw | Belarus |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 63.35% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.83% | 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.8% |
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