SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Molde |
32.3% ( 0.23) | 24.38% ( -0.14) | 43.32% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.92% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( 0.72) | 43.7% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( 0.7) | 66.09% ( -0.7) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( 0.49) | 26.06% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% ( 0.66) | 61.1% ( -0.66) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.68% ( 0.25) | 20.31% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.3% ( 0.4) | 52.69% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 43.32% |
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