SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Sevilla |
49.91% ( 0.3) | 25.08% ( 0.2) | 25% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( -1.19) | 51.01% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( -1.06) | 72.88% ( 1.05) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( -0.35) | 20.45% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( -0.56) | 52.91% ( 0.56) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% ( -1.07) | 35.14% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.11% ( -1.14) | 71.88% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.05% Total : 25% |
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