SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Atletico Junior |
63.17% ( 0.08) | 22.15% ( -0.03) | 14.68% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.09% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% ( 0.05) | 52.53% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( 0.04) | 74.19% ( -0.04) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.92% ( 0.04) | 16.08% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.54% ( 0.08) | 45.47% ( -0.08) |
| Atletico Junior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.53% ( -0.03) | 47.47% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.16% ( -0.03) | 82.84% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| LDU Quito | Draw | Atletico Junior |
| 1-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 63.15% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.54% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.14% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.69% |
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