While the recent form table — Le Havre have three points from a possible 15 and Montpellier have seven in their last five games — indicates a positive outcome for the visitors on Sunday, a pitiful run of six losses in their previous eight road games means the hosts are backed for a marginal victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.08) 
