Sassuolo have never lost to Lecce in six previous meetings - winning on three occasions, including completing the double last season with two 1-0 wins.
While it is never quite clear what Sassuolo will show up, Lecce may be reeling from two quick-fire defeats last week and could struggle to maintain their position near the top, making the visitors slight favourites to keep up their fine run in this fixture.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
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