SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Sassuolo |
43.54% ( -0.26) | 25.37% ( 0.08) | 31.08% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.29) | 48.61% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.27% ( -0.27) | 70.72% ( 0.27) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( -0.25) | 22.27% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% ( -0.37) | 55.72% ( 0.37) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.03) | 29.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.04) | 65.21% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.54% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.08% |
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