SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
44.64% ( 0.04) | 25.05% ( 0.05) | 30.31% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( -0.24) | 47.53% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( -0.22) | 69.73% ( 0.23) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% ( -0.08) | 21.32% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.73% ( -0.13) | 54.26% ( 0.13) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.17) | 29.23% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( -0.22) | 65.18% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Pogon Szczecin |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.64% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.31% |
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