SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.19%) and 1-3 (5.14%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Qarabag FK |
36.18% ( 0) | 21.96% ( 0.01) | 41.86% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 69.29% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.33% ( -0.03) | 30.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.01% ( -0.03) | 51.99% ( 0.03) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.08% ( -0.01) | 17.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.26% ( -0.02) | 48.73% ( 0.02) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( -0.01) | 15.58% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( -0.02) | 44.55% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.98% Total : 36.18% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.39% 3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 3.99% Total : 41.86% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
