SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
50.26% ( -0.05) | 25.17% ( 0.03) | 24.57% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% ( -0.1) | 51.74% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( -0.09) | 73.51% ( 0.09) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -0.06) | 20.6% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -0.09) | 53.14% ( 0.09) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( -0.04) | 35.91% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% ( -0.04) | 72.69% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 50.25% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.57% |
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