SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Clermont |
61.07% ( 0.01) | 21.66% ( -0.02) | 17.26% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% ( 0.13) | 46.12% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% ( 0.12) | 68.42% ( -0.12) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.39% ( 0.05) | 14.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.28% ( 0.09) | 42.72% ( -0.09) |
| Clermont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( 0.09) | 40.2% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.16% ( 0.09) | 76.84% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Clermont |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 61.06% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 17.26% |
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