SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Lens had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
30.79% ( -1.21) | 24.69% ( -0.34) | 44.52% ( 1.55) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( 1.05) | 45.72% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( 0.99) | 68.04% ( -0.98) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% ( -0.27) | 28% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( -0.35) | 63.65% ( 0.35) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( 1.14) | 20.62% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.83% ( 1.77) | 53.17% ( -1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.39)2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.79% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.16)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.52% |
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