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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Jan 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
PL

Lens
3 - 1
PSG

Frankowski (5'), Openda (28'), Claude-Maurice (47')
Abdul Samed (41'), Gradit (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ekitike (8')
Hakimi (45+3'), Gharbi (88'), Verratti (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lens
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 1-1 Paris Saint-Germain

No Neymar? No Messi? No fun for PSG. While Mbappe is always capable of conjuring up some game-changing moments for the champions, even his powers are somewhat limited when the famed trifecta is broken up. Lens have swept aside every foe that has visited their fortress this term, and while victory over the defensively-sound Parisiens may still be a step too far, we have faith in Haise's side to hold the champions to a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lens had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.18%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lens win it was 1-0 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
16.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 20.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 62.73% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)42.28% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)64.68% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.43%38.58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)75.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)12.88% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.72% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)39.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Lens 16.7%
    Paris Saint-Germain 62.73%
    Draw 20.57%
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 4.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.62% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.5%
3-1 @ 1.47% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 16.7%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.57%
0-2 @ 10.43%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.5% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
1-5 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 62.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 0-0 Lens
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Clermont
Saturday, November 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-2 Lens
Saturday, November 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-0 Toulouse
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-1 Lens
Saturday, October 22 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Strasbourg
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Quevilly
Wednesday, December 21 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Paris FC
Friday, December 16 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Auxerre
Sunday, November 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 PSG
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Juventus 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League


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