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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 37
May 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
N

Lille
2 - 1
Nantes

David (51' pen., 88' pen.)
Balepa (44'), David (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Merlin (17')
Castelletto (36'), Victor (79'), Mohamed (86'), Blas (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Nantes

With both sides in need of a result at the back end of the campaign, we certainly anticipate a competitive encounter but expect Fonseca's side to have too much quality for their struggling visitors and take all three points on home turf as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.29%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.77%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawNantes
73.29% (1.098 1.1) 17.05% (-0.554 -0.55) 9.66% (-0.5451 -0.55)
Both teams to score 44.59% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (0.85400000000001 0.85)43.23% (-0.855 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (0.839 0.84)65.63% (-0.839 -0.84)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.69% (0.509 0.51)10.31% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.26% (1.147 1.15)33.73% (-1.147 -1.15)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.71% (-0.546 -0.55)50.28% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.14% (-0.378 -0.38)84.85% (0.378 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Lille 73.28%
    Nantes 9.66%
    Draw 17.05%
LilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 13.38% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-0 @ 10.13% (0.266 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
4-0 @ 5.76% (0.273 0.27)
4-1 @ 3.96% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.62% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 73.28%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.16% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.05%
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-2 @ 2.78% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 9.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Marseille
Saturday, May 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-0 Lille
Sunday, May 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Lille
Saturday, May 6 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, April 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Auxerre 1-1 Lille
Saturday, April 22 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Montpellier
Sunday, April 16 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Montpellier
Saturday, May 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Nantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-5 Toulouse
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Troyes
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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