With Gourvennec potentially forced into making two unwanted alterations in defence and dealing with jellied legs in all areas of the pitch, Lille's magnificent defensive streak in Ligue 1 is sure to come to an end at the Beaujoire fortress. However, Kombouare is dealing with a similar situation for a side whose confidence would have been rocked slightly by the loss to Troyes, and we can only see the two European outsiders shaking hands on a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lille
43.57%	26.53%	29.9%

Both teams to score 50.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.18%

53.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71%

75.29%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.47%

24.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41%

59%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26%

32.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7%

69.3%

Score Analysis

Nantes 43.56%

Lille 29.91%

Draw 26.53%

Nantes	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.56%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 7.04% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.91%