SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 10.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Linfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Ballymena United |
72.49% ( 0.08) | 17.15% ( -0.04) | 10.36% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.99% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.47% ( 0.11) | 41.52% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% ( 0.11) | 63.92% ( -0.11) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.94% ( 0.05) | 10.06% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.84% ( 0.11) | 33.16% ( -0.11) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.24% ( 0) | 47.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.94% ( 0) | 83.05% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-0 @ 12.67% 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 72.49% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.15% | 0-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 10.36% |
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