Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 84.07%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 4.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.69%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.28%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Linfield | Draw | Ballymena United |
84.07% ( 0.13) | 11.1% ( -0.09) | 4.83% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 40.63% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.36% ( 0.23) | 33.63% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.55% ( 0.26) | 55.45% ( -0.27) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.23% ( 0.07) | 5.76% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.79% ( 0.2) | 22.21% ( -0.2) |
Ballymena United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
43.11% ( 0.01) | 56.88% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.02% ( 0.01) | 88.97% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Linfield | Draw | Ballymena United |
2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 12.69% 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.41% Total : 84.05% | 1-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 11.1% | 0-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 4.83% |
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