Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.3%) and 0-3 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Ballymena United | Draw | Linfield |
10.64% ( -0.53) | 18.8% ( -0.19) | 70.56% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 42.56% ( -1.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.95% ( -0.6) | 48.05% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.78% ( -0.55) | 70.22% ( 0.55) |
Ballymena United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.57% ( -1.38) | 51.43% ( 1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.37% ( -0.94) | 85.63% ( 0.94) |
Linfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.62% ( 0.03) | 12.38% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.75% ( 0.06) | 38.25% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Ballymena United | Draw | Linfield |
1-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.06% Total : 10.64% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.52% Total : 18.8% | 0-2 @ 13.89% ( 0.37) 0-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 9.67% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 5.05% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.83% Total : 70.55% |
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