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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Aug 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 1
Linfield


Nelson (35'), McGuigan (40'), Place (53'), McCullough (60'), Graham (73'), McMurray (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McKee (83')
Shields (65')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Linfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larne 3-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 4-2 Glenavon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 70.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 10.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.3%) and 0-3 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
10.64% (-0.532 -0.53) 18.8% (-0.191 -0.19) 70.56% (0.72500000000001 0.73)
Both teams to score 42.56% (-1.196 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.95% (-0.596 -0.6)48.05% (0.6 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (-0.551 -0.55)70.22% (0.554 0.55)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.57% (-1.382 -1.38)51.43% (1.384 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.37% (-0.937 -0.94)85.63% (0.93900000000001 0.94)
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.62% (0.031000000000006 0.03)12.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75% (0.062999999999995 0.06)38.25% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 10.64%
    Linfield 70.55%
    Draw 18.8%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLinfield
1-0 @ 4.24% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 2.94% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-0 @ 1.41% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 10.64%
1-1 @ 8.85% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 18.8%
0-2 @ 13.89% (0.37 0.37)
0-1 @ 13.3% (0.34 0.34)
0-3 @ 9.67% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 6.43% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-4 @ 5.05% (0.147 0.15)
1-4 @ 3.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.11% (0.064 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 70.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Larne 3-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 1-2 Crusaders
Friday, August 11 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 2-1 Ballymena
Friday, August 4 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 1-0 Carrick
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 2-2 Ballymena
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-0 Dungannon
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 4-2 Glenavon
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-3 Linfield
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Szczecin 3-2 Linfield
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Linfield 2-5 Szczecin
Thursday, July 27 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Vllaznia Shkoder 1-0 Linfield
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Linfield 3-1 Vllaznia Shkoder
Thursday, July 13 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League


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