SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Linfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Glenavon |
63.82% ( -0.1) | 21.46% ( 0.05) | 14.72% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 46.15% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.22% ( -0.09) | 49.78% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.08) | 71.78% ( 0.09) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( -0.06) | 14.94% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.65% ( -0.12) | 43.35% ( 0.12) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.25% ( 0.03) | 45.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.48% ( 0.02) | 81.52% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Glenavon |
| 1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 63.82% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.46% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 14.72% |
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