SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Linfield |
18.32% ( 0.02) | 23.3% ( 0.01) | 58.38% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.77% ( -0.01) | 51.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( -0.01) | 73.06% ( 0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% ( 0.01) | 41.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.6% ( 0.01) | 78.4% ( -0.01) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.73% ( -0.01) | 17.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.39% ( -0.02) | 47.6% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.32% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 12.72% 0-2 @ 11.17% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-3 @ 6.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.68% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.87% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.47% 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 58.37% |
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