NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park
Quinn (11'), Malone (58'), Kerr (60'), Birney (67'), Snoddy (76')
Garrett (18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Linfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 58.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result |
| Glenavon | Draw | Linfield |
18.32% ( 0.02) | 23.3% ( 0.01) | 58.38% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.01) |
| 48.77% ( -0.01) | 51.23% ( 0.01) |
| 26.93% ( -0.01) | 73.06% ( 0.01) |
| 58.04% ( 0.01) | 41.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.6% ( 0.01) | 78.4% ( -0.01) |
| 82.73% ( -0.01) | 17.27% ( 0.01) |
