SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | River Plate |
37.63% ( 0.03) | 28.67% ( -0.07) | 33.7% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.7% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.23% ( 0.25) | 60.76% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% ( 0.19) | 80.81% ( -0.19) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% ( 0.15) | 31.11% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.56% ( 0.17) | 67.43% ( -0.17) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.33% ( 0.16) | 33.66% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.68% ( 0.18) | 70.32% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 37.62% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.66% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.7% |
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