Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Liverpool in this match.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Liverpool |
31.15% ( -0.21) | 27.5% ( -0.07) | 41.36% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 48.42% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.93% ( 0.19) | 57.07% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.05% ( 0.15) | 77.95% ( -0.15) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.47% ( -0.05) | 33.53% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.83% ( -0.06) | 70.17% ( 0.06) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.84% ( 0.25) | 27.16% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.44% ( 0.32) | 62.56% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate | Draw | Liverpool |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.15% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.36% |
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