SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | River Plate |
50.52% ( 0.39) | 24.77% ( -0.15) | 24.7% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.24% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.4) | 50.02% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.35) | 72% ( -0.36) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( 0.32) | 19.81% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.12% ( 0.51) | 51.88% ( -0.51) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( 0) | 34.85% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.41% ( 0) | 71.59% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 50.51% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.7% |
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