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Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Saroldi
L(

River Plate
2 - 0
Liverpool

Sosa (64', 85')
(34'), Salaberry (50'), Sosa (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (13'), Carneiro (36')
Carneiro (88')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between River Plate and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fenix
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawLiverpool
44.7%23.59%31.72%
Both teams to score 61.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79%40.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41%62.59%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69%18.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61%49.39%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.28%24.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.73%59.27%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 44.7%
    Liverpool 31.72%
    Draw 23.58%
River PlateDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 3.61%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.57%
4-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 River Plate
Wednesday, March 9 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, March 5 at 12.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Cerrito
Monday, February 28 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-2 Boston River
Saturday, February 19 at 12.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, February 12 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Wanderers
Monday, February 7 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 River Plate
Wednesday, March 9 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Maldonado 1-0 Liverpool
Friday, March 4 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Danubio
Saturday, February 26 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Liverpool
Monday, February 21 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Albion
Sunday, February 13 at 12.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-3 Liverpool
Saturday, February 5 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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