Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
