SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 23.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | River Plate |
51.55% ( -0.86) | 24.68% ( 0.28) | 23.76% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 51.52% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.51% ( -0.58) | 50.48% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( -0.51) | 72.41% ( 0.51) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( -0.57) | 19.57% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( -0.93) | 51.49% ( 0.93) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.06% ( 0.21) | 35.94% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.28% ( 0.22) | 72.72% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.91% Total : 51.55% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.76% |
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