SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 79.42%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 7.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.64%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Luton Town |
79.42% ( 0.08) | 12.63% ( -0.05) | 7.95% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.25% ( 0.17) | 26.74% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.83% ( 0.21) | 47.16% ( -0.21) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.74% ( 0.05) | 5.26% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.26% ( 0.14) | 20.74% ( -0.14) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.82% ( 0.06) | 42.18% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.41% ( 0.05) | 78.59% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Luton Town |
| 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 5.38% Total : 79.42% | 1-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.63% | 1-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.57% Total : 7.95% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
