SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
45.83% ( -0.65) | 26.69% ( 0.49) | 27.49% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( -1.75) | 55.59% ( 1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( -1.45) | 76.75% ( 1.46) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -1.07) | 24.21% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.46% ( -1.54) | 58.54% ( 1.55) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( -0.8) | 35.54% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( -0.84) | 72.3% ( 0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 27.49% |
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