SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Loughgall win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Crusaders |
15.21% ( 0.84) | 19.4% ( 0.44) | 65.39% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( -0.24) | 39.85% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( -0.25) | 62.21% ( 0.25) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.03% ( 0.98) | 38.97% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% ( 0.91) | 75.69% ( -0.91) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.58% ( -0.41) | 11.42% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.81% ( -0.89) | 36.19% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Crusaders |
| 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.21% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.4% | 0-2 @ 10.47% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 7.14% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 3.87% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.78% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.02% Total : 65.38% |
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