SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Grasshopper Zurich had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Grasshopper Zurich win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
48.2% ( 0.06) | 25.3% ( -0.01) | 26.5% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.22% ( 0.01) | 50.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.33% ( 0.01) | 72.67% ( -0.01) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( 0.03) | 21.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.1% ( 0.05) | 53.91% ( -0.05) |
| Grasshopper Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.24% ( -0.04) | 33.76% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.58% ( -0.04) | 70.42% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Grasshopper Zurich |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.2% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.5% |
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