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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano
2 - 0
Lausanne

Bislimi (4'), Grgic (10')
Doumbia (75'), Grgic (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pafundi (67'), Custodio (67'), Szalai (78'), Dussenne (90+5')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Lausanne Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grasshopper 0-1 Lugano
Saturday, April 13 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lausanne 1-0 FC Zurich
Saturday, April 13 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawLausanne Sport
46.38% (-0.185 -0.18) 25.08% (0.466 0.47) 28.54% (-0.277 -0.28)
Both teams to score 54.5% (-1.719 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.41% (-2.174 -2.17)48.59% (2.177 2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (-2.011 -2.01)70.7% (2.014 2.01)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (-0.96299999999999 -0.96)20.98% (0.966 0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (-1.53 -1.53)53.74% (1.532 1.53)
Lausanne Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-1.319 -1.32)31.03% (1.322 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (-1.575 -1.58)67.34% (1.577 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 46.37%
    Lausanne Sport 28.54%
    Draw 25.07%
LuganoDrawLausanne Sport
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.595 0.6)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.244 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.13% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.565 0.57)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.402 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Grasshopper 0-1 Lugano
Saturday, April 13 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Winterthur 2-2 Lugano
Saturday, April 6 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-0 Basel
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: SLO 1-3 Lugano
Saturday, March 30 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-0 Yverdon Sport
Saturday, March 16 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: St Gallen 2-3 Lugano
Saturday, March 9 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lausanne 1-0 FC Zurich
Saturday, April 13 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Luzern 0-0 Lausanne
Sunday, April 7 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lausanne 3-3 St Gallen
Thursday, April 4 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Grasshopper 0-1 Lausanne
Monday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lausanne 2-0 Young Boys
Sunday, March 17 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Servette 3-1 Lausanne
Sunday, March 10 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League


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