SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
47.59% ( -0.16) | 23.7% ( 0.09) | 28.7% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.63% ( -0.37) | 42.36% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.23% ( -0.37) | 64.76% ( 0.37) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( -0.2) | 17.99% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.14% ( -0.35) | 48.85% ( 0.35) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.14) | 27.72% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( -0.18) | 63.29% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.67% Total : 47.59% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.7% |
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