SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
35.15% ( 0.76) | 25.09% ( 0.02) | 39.76% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.75% ( 0.04) | 46.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.45% ( 0.04) | 68.55% ( -0.03) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( 0.46) | 25.58% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.55% ( 0.63) | 60.45% ( -0.62) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -0.37) | 23.09% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% ( -0.55) | 56.94% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.15% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.76% |
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