Marseille will hope to see their affinity for draws become a thing of the past following the international break, but Sampaoli is under pressure to find the right formula for his side's attacking troubles.
A confidence-depleted Lyon can at least fall back on their solid home record and recent spate of strong results against Marseille, so we expect defences to take centre stage as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless stalemate.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
