SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 44%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.58%) and 1-3 (5.39%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
33.95% ( 0.25) | 22.05% ( 0.13) | 44% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 68.27% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.25% ( -0.56) | 31.75% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.73% ( -0.66) | 53.27% ( 0.67) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.14) | 19.48% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.66% ( -0.23) | 51.34% ( 0.23) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( -0.35) | 15.23% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.12% ( -0.67) | 43.88% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.37% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.23% Total : 44% |
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