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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Gallagher Stadium
S

Maidstone
1 - 0
Stevenage

Corne (45+2' pen.)
Bone (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sweeney (14'), Thompson (42'), Freeman (48'), Piergianni (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Stevenage
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Maidstone United 1-2 Stevenage

Maidstone's form in this season's FA Cup has been excellent, but this will be their biggest test of the campaign, and although we are predicting a close match, Stevenage should be able to navigate their way into the fourth round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Maidstone UnitedDrawStevenage
20.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.36% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 54.64% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.06% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)52.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)39.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (-0.012 -0.01)76.16% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.53% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Maidstone United 20.99%
    Stevenage 54.63%
    Draw 24.36%
Maidstone UnitedDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.99%
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 12.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-3 @ 5.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.33%
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.22%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 54.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Maidstone
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 5-1 Maidstone
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Stevenage
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Stevenage
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 3-3 Stevenage (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One


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