Real Madrid will not be at full strength on Saturday, which will certainly boost Mallorca's chances of picking up a positive result.
We came incredibly close to backing a draw here, especially as Mallorca have not lost many at home this term, but Real Madrid's quality should allow them to navigate their way to a vital three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.25%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
-0.16) 
0.21) 
