Mallorca have been very difficult to beat at home in La Liga this season, suffering just two defeats, while Real Sociedad have won only four of their 12 league games on their travels. The Basque outfit are in need of a win, but we are fully expecting the points to be shared on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.14%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
-0.56) 
0.11) 
