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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 17.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for an AIK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
61.33% ( 0.79) | 21.14% ( -0.37) | 17.53% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( 0.93) | 43.39% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( 0.91) | 65.78% ( -0.91) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.35% ( 0.54) | 13.65% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.17% ( 1.07) | 40.82% ( -1.07) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( 0.06) | 38.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.99% ( 0.06) | 75.01% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | AIK Fotboll |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.01% Total : 61.32% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.14% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.53% |
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