Malmo have got off to a much better start to the season in comparison to Kalmar and with them holding the home advantage, where they have not lost since July 2023, we expect the hosts to win this one.
All of the last six meetings between these two sides have ended in 1-0 scorelines, and we expect this one to follow that same trend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 71.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
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