Despite suffering from peculiarly poor home form so far, Marseille will again be big favourites ahead of this clash, and will look to take advantage of playing earlier to close the gap on PSG.
Auxerre have not travelled well so far this season, and without two key defenders due to suspension, they could struggle to keep this impressive Marseille attack at bay.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.67%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 24.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
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