Marseille and Strasbourg have developed an affinity for sharing the spoils in recent times, and given the hosts' plethora of international absentees, another one-pointer is not beyond the realm of possibility.
While Les Olympiens' defensive supremacy at home should still come to the fore, their remaining big-hitters left a lot to be desired against Thionville, and an in-form Strasbourg should back themselves to get something out of Friday's game.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
