SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
29.75% ( 0.01) | 23.96% ( 0) | 46.28% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( -0) | 42.95% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( -0) | 65.35% ( 0) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( 0) | 27.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( 0.01) | 62.75% ( -0.01) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( -0.01) | 18.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.87% ( -0.01) | 50.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.75% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0)0-3 @ 4% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.28% |
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