SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
42.04% ( -0.57) | 23.69% ( 0.06) | 34.27% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 62.12% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( -0.15) | 39.8% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.84% ( -0.15) | 62.16% ( 0.16) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( -0.31) | 19.26% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.01% ( -0.51) | 50.98% ( 0.51) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.21) | 23.05% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.12% ( 0.31) | 56.88% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.04% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.27% |
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