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Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
Dec 3, 2023 at 4am UK
Central Coast Stadium
MV

Central Coast
2 - 2
Victory

Kuol (16'), Torres (73' pen.)
Balard (49'), Kaltack (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fornaroli (45+1'), Velupillay (52')
Miranda (68')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 25 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Victory
Friday, November 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.49%) and 3-1 (6.42%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
52.63% (0.537 0.54) 21.13% (-0.341 -0.34) 26.24% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 66.5% (1.095 1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.04% (1.505 1.51)31.95% (-1.51 -1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.49% (1.742 1.74)53.51% (-1.745 -1.75)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (0.676 0.68)12.49% (-0.679 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.53% (1.392 1.39)38.47% (-1.397 -1.4)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (0.66600000000001 0.67)24.01% (-0.67 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (0.942 0.94)58.26% (-0.947 -0.95)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 52.63%
    Melbourne Victory 26.24%
    Draw 21.14%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.105 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.24% (-0.351 -0.35)
3-2 @ 4.58% (0.161 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.138 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.142 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.091 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.088 0.09)
5-2 @ 0.99% (0.083 0.08)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 52.63%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.066 0.07)
0-0 @ 3% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 21.14%
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.28% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 26.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Central Coast 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 25 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, November 12 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, November 4 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Macarthur
Sunday, October 29 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-0 Central Coast
Friday, October 20 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-6 Central Coast
Saturday, June 3 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Victory
Friday, November 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Wellington
Friday, November 10 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 5-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, October 29 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Victory
Saturday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 29 at 10.45am in Australian A-League


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