Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.52%) and 3-1 (6.39%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
52.45% (![]() | 21.22% (![]() | 26.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.28% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.72% (![]() | 32.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.1% (![]() | 53.9% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.35% (![]() | 12.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.19% (![]() | 38.81% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.88% (![]() | 24.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% (![]() | 58.43% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.28% (![]() 2-0 @ 6.52% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 52.45% | 1-1 @ 8.97% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.59% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 6.38% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 26.33% |
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